The challenge

Why the same issues keep recurring

The pattern

When the same pattern keeps showing up despite good work and good intentions.

The pathway
  • Fixes that fail
  • Delays
  • Shifting the Burden
  • Feedback loops
  • Eroding Goals
  • Policy Resistance
  • Second-Order Effects
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The challenge

The unintended consequences nobody planned for

The pattern

When an action produces effects nobody planned for - sometimes bigger than the original move.

The pathway
  • Interconnections
  • Nonlinearity
  • Boundaries
  • Unintended Consequences
  • Intervention Side Effects
  • System Traps
  • Leverage Points
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The challenge

There's something underneath this

The pattern

When you can feel a pattern at work but can't quite name what's driving it.

The pathway
  • Event-Pattern-Structure
  • Iceberg Model
  • Linear Thinking
  • System Blindness
  • Mental Models
  • Boundaries
  • Multiple Perspectives
  • Boundary Critique
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The challenge

The numbers say one thing, the room says another

The pattern

When what you're measuring and what you're experiencing don't match.

The pathway
  • Goodhart's Law
  • Proxy Measures
  • Surrogate Measures
  • Perverse Incentives
  • Leading vs Lagging Indicators
  • Signal vs Noise
  • Observer Effect
  • Sub-optimisation
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The challenge

Growth is creating its own pressure

The pattern

When the things that got you here start working against you.

The pathway
  • Exponential Growth
  • S-Curves
  • Limits to Growth
  • Growth and Underinvestment
  • Success to the Successful
  • Overshoot and Collapse
  • Carrying Capacity
  • Scale Effects
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The challenge

Everyone sees a different picture

The pattern

When capable people in the same room are working from different realities.

The pathway
  • Multiple Perspectives
  • Mental Models
  • Boundary Critique
  • Sensemaking
  • Complexity vs Complication
  • Stakeholder Mapping
  • Wicked Problems
  • Satisficing
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The challenge

The change keeps sliding back

The pattern

When you've understood the pattern but the shift doesn't hold.

The pathway
  • Institutional Inertia
  • Path Dependence
  • Resilience
  • Adaptive Capacity
  • Double-Loop Learning
  • Catalytic Mechanisms
  • Safe-to-Fail Experiments
  • Minimum Viable Intervention
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The challenge

Seeing what's shaping things

The pattern

The place to start. How to notice the systems that are already influencing everything around you.

The pathway
  • Stocks and Flows
  • Feedback loops
  • Delays
  • Interconnections
  • Emergence
  • Nonlinearity
  • Leverage Points
  • Iceberg Model
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